Right now, businesses need to navigate two converging trends: 1) breakthroughs in critical and emerging technologies are redefining global power dynamics, economics, and security frameworks, and 2) geopolitical instability is disrupting supply chains, shifting alliances, and fueling competition over critical resources and technologies.
Right now, two major trends are reshaping the world. First, breakthroughs in critical and emerging technologies — think artificial intelligence, advanced telecommunications, synthetic biology, and quantum computing — are redefining global power dynamics, economics, and security frameworks. Second, great geopolitical instability is disrupting supply chains, shifting alliances, and fueling competition over critical resources and technologies: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rising tensions between Washington and Beijing, and worries that Israel’s two-front war in Gaza and Lebanon could spark a conflict that engulfs the entire Middle East. Donald Trump’s re-election will undoubtedly intensify these dynamics.
Politics tamfitronics There is an urgent lesson that the last Trump administration never fully grasped: successful politics is not just transactional. It is also narrative, and mythological, and iconic.
With the conclusion of the US election, the thrill has set in for half the country: that we have a chance to re-secure our nation and its ideals. The other half of the nation, however, is in shock and even in a state of mourning.
Meanwhile, in only two days, the drumbeats of “resistance” from that half of the country have begun to sound: Rep Eric Swalwell encouraged his allies on X not to “Go[…] quietly”. This is dangerously inflammatory language, and it warns of a potential Democratic resistance to a peaceful transfer of power.
Insta-marches have begun — as I warned, warned, warned you for months would be the case — in Chicago and then, tick-tock, Philadelphia. Expect more. The tell-tale identically printed signs and instantly-amassed crowds don’t mean that these protests do not present a threat to the newly elected transition team. There will be more eruptions across the country, more instability, more threats to a peaceful transition of power. These will accompany of course power outages, national security crises or “crises”, legal challenges, and other messes, November and December and right up into January.
My point is that these are not just tactical eruptions targeted at actually unseating President Trump and his new team. That is unlikely to be directly successful.
What these are, as President Trump and his advisors should quickly understand, are efforts by my former colleagues in the media and the political establishmentsto change the subjectso as to undermine or derail President Trump’s mandate and to dilute his political capital.
In other words, there is an urgent lesson that the last Trump administration never fully grasped: successful politics is not just transactional. It is also narrative, and mythological, and iconic.
In that wisdom lies the secret power of great kings and Queens, and great Presidents.
President Trump is a businessman, and so thinks, reasonably enough given his field, that applause should follow actual achievements. This is a misleading expectation, however, in Presidential messaging. What audiences applaud is what they have beenled to understandhas happened to them that is positive, via their having been told a powerful, proactivestory.
While President Trump has been in media forever, he and his advisors have not mastered the art of telling a proactive symbolic and iconic political story. They tend to be highly reactive to adverse news coverage and to criticism, which is one of their most concerning vulnerabilities, as this continually misleads them into reactive media strategies.
President Trump’s engagement with the media, and even with live crowds, has insulated him to an extent, and that is a risk at this critical moment in his pre-Presidency. President Trump is used to dealing with “fake media” that continually lie about him no matter what — so in his calculus, he does not need to win them over at all. He is also used to speaking live to adoring crowds. So he is not used to speaking live to people who are unsure of him, or to people who actively hate and fear him.
But his task right now is to make it impossible for the “fake media” to disregard the positive points of his policy initiatives and the great news of his transition’s personnel decisions.
President Trump also urgently needs to lay to rest the active, traumatized fears of the half of the country that did not vote for him and especially of the millions who have been so propagandized by legacy media that they are in active states of apprehension and of grief.
Unfortunately this kind of messaging requires a whole different set of skills and talking points, than did campaigning. President Trump does not, respectfully, understand how to reach past the hostile media to craft a political and mythological narrative that reaches directly to audiences, including what are now — we hope temporarily — hostile audiences.
Why is this such an urgent problem to fix, like this week, like today?
Because this should be a moment in which from the Trump camp issue powerful visual scenes of triumph and blessing and unity for all Americans — even for the ones who hate and fear him.
I appreciate that the Trump and RFK Jr teams are working hard making hires and crafting policies. But in the media vacuum since President Trump was last onstage, enemies of the new American Alignment, including China, are hard at work — churning out, often with the amplification assistance of AI and Chinese-owned TikTok, those insta-protests, as well as “white supremacy” messaging, end-of-democracy messaging, online threats, and video after video of young women’s grief and distress.
The goal of President Trump’s enemies, foreign and domestic, via propaganda and protests, is to whip half the country up into a state of such amygdala-driven fear and rage that they can no longer reason; and so they will accept any crackdown on the peaceful transition to power.
So President Trump and his team need to pre-empt this messaging by getting a powerful message out front that derails it.
Here are my bullet points about how to do that.
1/ Surrogates, shut up and stop your online gloating.The Trump Campaign belatedly got their MAGA surrogates online and in independent media, to stick to disciplined messaging and talking points.The need for this discipline has not ended just because Trump won.
Just because MAGA had a Presidential win, it does not mean that this is the time to let the right’s impulsive, less-mature beasts out of their cages; to the contrary. The time to stick to strict message discipline is today, tomorrow, and for the next four years.
Victory does not mean license — it means even greater discipline, unless you want it all to go to hell.
The oppositionwantsMAGA surrogates and influencers to sound crude, uneducated, aggressive, misogynist, racist and lacking in empathy.Don’t take the bait.
So: stop making fun of liberal women crying in videos online.
I know, in the conservative media bubble, that you all think these videos and “over-reactions” are ridiculous. But never waste time mocking your opponents, especially in defeat. Learn from their fears and then respect and address their fears.
Women are really scared. Young women are really scared. They have been told they may die in botched back alley abortions now. This is not a trivial fear — it is existential. Others demographic groups fear a racist or Christian Nationalist tyranny.
You all may think those fears are nonsensical, but that would be a mistake.
President Trump and his primary allies —- RFK Jr, Tulsi Gabbard, Nicole Shanahan — the women on his team especially — need to beout front every single daywith speeches that repeat talking points that allay these fears. Every day they need to give speeches that repeat talking points about peace, equality, unity, inclusiveness, and respect for women. The Unity Movement. The Big Tent. All Americans are welcome and valued in this new golden age about to emerge. All Americans’ rights are to be respected.
Freedom of conscience.
Religious freedom.
Freedom to worship.
President Trump especially needs to give a speech that addresses those voters who feared him most, and who fear and hate him now. He needs to speak compassionately and empathically to them and to their families, saying that he intends to be a President for all Americans, whether they voted for him or not, and whether they agree with him or not.
He must say that he intends to raise the incomes and boost the safety of the families of all Americans, whether they fear and hate him right now or not, whether they voted for him or not.
He must say that he intends to protect the Constitutional rights and liberties of all Americans, whether they fear and hate him now or not, whether they voted for him etc. (Repetition is key to getting talking points to break through to voters and bypass media filters).
He and his team need to say openly and often that they intend to love and welcome and cherish all Americans, of whatever race, creed or color, whatever religion, whatever their families look like (yes please) and whatever their political beliefs. He needs to take back from the Left their buzzwords of “respect” “rights” and even “inclusion.” He needs to talk about “equality” so people forget the false appeal of the Communist term “equity.”
President Trump needs to reclaim for himself the Left’s attack terms. So he should pepper his speeches with restating his “empathy” for all Americans and his “compassion” for all Americans, agree with him or not, etc.
It has never been more important to lay to rest the cheap shots and the straw man caricatures of the opposition.
2/ Appointments have to be accompanied by PR releases and talking points and a round of interviews, and still photos and video clips. Tell the story.
The calls I am getting from liberal friends and family members center, as I warned they would, on abortion rights and on the environment.
President Trump and RFK Jr made an incredibly important appointment: sustainable farmer Joel Salatin, who is a darling of liberal media as well as a hero to many, in a USDA position.
Let us use this case as an example of what to quickly fix.
This appointment is huge, but when you google “Joel Salatin” without “Trump administration”, nothing comes up about this major news. Successful Presidential leadership is not just about achievements, as noted above, but also about telling America about the achievement and, even more importantly, about what it means. Without my liberal mom in Oregon (always my touchpoint for an informed, thoughtful liberal) being told by a Trump or RFK Jr speech about this appointment and farm policy, without a round of interviews with Salatin (on message, with talking points), and without a clear press release sent to media in advance of the interviews so that coverage stays on message, my mom is not going to know that this action represents a huge win for America’s environment.
Without any document — on the website, sent to reporters, presented by the transition’s or campaign’s press person (who is that?) explaining that this is not an isolated hire but part of a well-thought-out MAGA/MAHA environmental agenda, the hire comes and goes, and is lost to the media flooding that would rather cover protests against “white supremacy” in city streets, and videos of crying young women.
Now take that example and multiply it for every task the Trump team is undertaking. The teams need to message about a White House that supports racial and ethnic respect and unity. They need to message about respecting and boosting the lives of women — a slate of policies aimed at making women’s lives easier can do this: policies making sure parents can stay home with kids more easily; policies to showcase women entrepreneurs and small business owners and women in the military; speeches that showcase support for girls’ sports and that shine a light on teen girls’ achievements in science, tech and so on.
A set of events and policies aimed at young people needs to take place.
A set of events that welcomes rabbis, Jewish leaders, Imams, Muslim leaders, etc, to Mar a Lago, have to take place, even if these are brief photo ops. You get it.
All this positive messaging of a thematic agenda — rather than piecemeal announcements — will drown out the drumbeat of fears of a dead environment; a closed democracy; a racist regime; a Margaret Atwood’sHandmaid’s Talelevel of misogyny; as are all being forecast in a Trump presidency.
3/ Make it iconic
Tons of what the Trump transition should be doing is visual. The team he has assembled is extremely visually arresting, but he does not make enough use of aesthetics.
Take the Salatin example. Gold for visuals! The Trump transition should hold a press event and lunch (always feed the press, much as you hate them) at PolyFace Farm, Salatin’s exemplary farm, in Virginia. The press should meet the cows and goats. They should be offered the chance to feed them.
How is an image such as this not golden, for both a Trump administration, and for bored political editors and photo editors at legacy media news outlets?
Attack the day’s media wars pitting a version of Salatin with his adorable happy pigs — an image that implies a greener America and less cruel agricultural system — as opposed to images of angry insta-crowds in the streets of Philadelphia. Who will win? The pigs, of course.
But you have to get the image out in front first, in abundance, in order to beat back the opposition.
What does it mean to make a political image “iconic”, that critical skill?
What do you think of when you think of the Kennedy administration? Not just images of the President at a podium, giving his famous speeches such as his famous Inaugural Address that included the line, “Ask not what your country can do for you — ask what you can do for your country.” You think also of images of Robert Kennedy listening to the poorest and most marginalized of Americans, visiting them in their own communities, including the Mississippi Delta’s African-American communities and Pine Ridge’s Native American communities.
In these images, the Kennedy team are not dictating to or condescending to or making a DEI exemplum of the people whom they are visiting. They are clearly listening to them and speakingwiththem. Such images, more perhaps than their powerful speeches or inspired policies, led to the feelings of loving admiration shared by many Americans who had at first distrusted them.
These images gave the Kennedys a circle of political protection, a radius built up of political capital, that shielded them from efforts to derail their courageous policy initiatives. You cannot overestimate the power of iconic White House-driven imagery.
4/ Elevate and Align with Unifying American Culture, Fast
And they should make much more use of cultural and artistic figures as well, who are innately unifying. Appoint the beloved critic Dr Cornel West to a task force on getting humanities back into the schools and universities. Ask a great American novelist such as Annie Proulx to give a reading of a new work to the nation, and launch a project for the WH to host readings nationwide of classics of American literature. Invite a great American saxophonist or cellist to launch a series of travelling White House concerts and invite DC schoolchildren, and then send the program to schoolchildren nationwide. These initiatives cost little but after the culture wars of the last four to eight years they will feel like balm in Gilead to our tortured souls. They will change the subject from trans issues and sex ed, to bringing American high culture and literacy back to schools; and they will reassure citizens that the Trump team is a peaceful, civilized and cultivated one — thus making it harder for Trump’s enemies to whip up fears of crazed MAGA Visigoths arriving soon in your area with their clubs and AK 47s.
Here is President Kennedy and Mrs Kennedy welcoming and aligning with beloved American poet Robert Frost:
5/ Have A Range of Appearances in the Women around the Team
There is visual imagery that Trump and allies urgently need to send out vis a vis women. The following may seem trivial, but it is not.
All the women around President Trump are conventionally beautiful. I don’t mean to be rude or catty at all, but they also all seem to share a certain “look.”
It is a look of long waved hair or hair extensions, perfect makeup, false eyelashes and designer clothing.
I personally love it. But I don’t advise it. This style is actually offputting to the millions of women who most fear a Trump ascendancy.
Rightly or wrongly, leftwing and liberal women read that set of appearance choices as being submissive to the “male gaze”, expensive to manage, and inherently oppressive. I am not defending this view, just explaining it.
It would be wise for President Trump and his allies to showcase women in their circle such as Tulsi Gabbard and Nicole Shanahan, whose appearance is equally attractive, but who look a bit more relatable to non-Maga women. It would be valuable also to include and showcase images of Trump and team listening to women who look and “read” much more like the average mom and/or the average working or professional woman in America. This would go a long way to easing freaked-out women’s fears of gender submission under “the patriarchy.”
And task the talented women around both MAGA and MAHA with having bigger messages. Melania Trump, whose biography is a No 1 bestseller, turns out to be a powerful speaker with important messages to share. Cheryl Hines is a beloved actress with tremendous comedic range — and is a former or current liberal. Send her out to explain MAGA’s/MAHA’s exciting plans to boost the lives of women. Pres Trump’s granddaughter made a star appearance. Good move! Now send her out with a message of awesome plans and policies that show respect for the dreams and aspirations of young women. None of these women have to say the word “abortion”, though it does not hurt to remind everyone that Pres Trump does not favor a national abortion ban. They can simply flood the airwaves of the language of “respect” and “recognition” of women’s issues, challenges and achievements. The MAGA/MAHA team, lastly, should send these gifted emissaries to nontraditional nonpolitical media read by women of all backgrounds:Women’s Day, People Magazine, Good Housekeeping,evenStar. VogueandHarper’s Bazaarwill not, I wager, spurn the offer of an interview and photo session with Hines, Shanahan, or even Mrs Trump. And if they do, well, it does not hurt to try. There is a world of ways to bypass hostile political media, with positive messaging from the powerful, talented women around these principals.
RFK Sr did not have to issue a press release stating “I respect women”, to send the message with this powerful image of his wife and Coretta Scott King, that his administration respected women. The listening body language says it all.
That’s my unsolicited postcard/memo to MAGA and MAHA for today.
Bless you all, and please do get out ahead of that oncoming train.
Politics tamfitronics Trump poised to appoint Rubio; judge decides whether to overturn criminal conviction
Good morning, and welcome to our US politics blog.
US President-elect Donald Trump announced several new members of his incoming administration on Monday, and is reportedly expected to name Marco Rubio – a one time challenger in the 2016 Republican presidential primaries – as secretary of state.
It comes as justice Juan Merchana New York judge, is set to decide later today whether Trump’s criminal conviction on charges involving hush money paid to a porn star should be overturned in light of the US Supreme Court’s July ruling on presidential immunity.
Meanwhile, officials at the US justice department are assessing how to wind down the two federal criminal cases brought against Trump by special counsel Jack Smith due to its longstanding policy against prosecuting a sitting president.
A separate case in Georgia involving state criminal charges concerning Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 presidential election loss remains in limbo.
We will give you more on the developments in the legal cases Trump faces when news breaks throughout the day.
Donald Trump campaigns in Raleigh, north Carolina, with Marco Rubio. Photograph: Jonathan Drake/Reuters
Here are the main political appointments Trump has already made or is expected to announce shortly:
The New York Times reports that Trump is expected to name Florida senator Marco Rubio his secretary of state. The paper cites three unnamed sources “familiar with [Trump’s] thinking”. Rubio has said that Ukraine needs to seek a negotiated settlement with Moscow rather than focus on regaining all territory that Russia has taken in the last decade. He was also one of 15 Republican senators to vote against a $95 billion military aid package for Ukraine, passed in April. Rubio serves as the vice-chairman of the Senate intelligence committee and sits on the foreign relations committee.
The US president-elect has reportedly asked US Representative Michael Waltza retired Army National Guard officer and war veteran, to be his national security adviser. Waltz, regarded by many in Washington as hawkish on China and Iran, has also been a member of the intelligence and foreign affairs committees.
Trump picked South Dakota governor Kristi Noem to serve as the next secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, CNN reported on Tuesday, citing two sources. The Department of Homeland Security is responsible for a range of issues, including border protection, immigration, disaster response and the US secret service. Noem, once seen as a possible running mate for Trump, made headlines after refusing to impose a statewide mask mandate during the pandemic.
Trump announced that the former New York congressman Lee Zeldin will be selected to lead the Environmental Protection Agency. Trump, who oversaw the rollback of more than 100 environmental rules when he last was US president, said Zeldin was a “true fighter for America First policies” and that “he will ensure fair and swift deregulatory decisions”.
Stephen Millerthe author of Trump’s so-called “Muslim ban” immigration policy during his first term, is set to be his deputy chief of staff with a broad portfolio.
Trump said on Sunday that Tom Homanthe former acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice), will be in charge of the country’s borders in his new administration. Homan told Fox News: “If sanctuary cities don’t want to help us, then get the hell out of the way, because we’re coming.”
New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik40, has been made ambassador to the United Nations. Stefanik, a Trump-skeptic turned Trump-ally, is the House Republican Conference chair, making her the fourth-ranking House Republican.
On Thursday, Trump made his first appointment, naming Susie Wileswho has worked on Republican campaigns since the days of Ronald Reagan, White House chief of staff. She was previously the campaign manager for his victorious bid for re-election.
Donald Trump is reportedly considering making North Dakota’s governor Doug Burgum his new “energy tsar”. The Financial Times were the first to report this on Friday. The outlet said that Burgum, who last year ran a short-lived campaign for the Republican nomination for president, is the president-elect’s preferred candidate for the role, though former energy secretary Dan Brouillette is also said to be a strong contender. The role and its powers have yet to be finalised but the FT reports that role would likely replace the “climate tsar” — or National Climate Advisor — established by the Biden administration. You can read more on Trump’s (potential) cabinet picks here.
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Dakota governor Doug Burgum leaves the stage at the North Carolina GOP Convention in Greensboro, on 25 May, 2024.”,”caption”:”North Dakota governor Doug Burgum leaves the stage at the North Carolina GOP Convention in Greensboro, on 25 May, 2024.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Woody Marshall/AP”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
As my colleagues Dharna NoorandOliver Milmannote in this story, Trump has pledged to deregulate the energy sector, allow the oil and gas industry to “drill, baby, drill”, and pull the US from the Paris climate agreement, which committed countries to taking steps to avoid the worst impacts of the crisis.
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Steve Bannon is due in court today ahead of his trial on criminal fraud charges over a push to fund Trump’s border wall, weeks after he was released from prison on a separate conviction. Bannon, the 70-year-old former Trump adviser, is scheduled to stand trial starting on 9 December in New York state court in Manhattan.
Prosecutors allege that he deceived donors who contributed more than $15 million in 2019 to a private fundraising drive to build a barrier along the US-Mexico border. Bannon has pleaded not guilty. He is set to appear for a final pretrial conference before acting justice April Newbauer at 2:15 pm EST (1915 GMT).
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Bannon holds a press conference at Loews Regency Hotel in New York on 29 October 2024.”,”caption”:”Steve Bannon holds a press conference at Loews Regency Hotel in New York on 29 October 2024. “,”credit”:”Photograph: Steven Ferdman/REX/Shutterstock”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Last month, Bannon was released from prison, following a four-month sentence for defying a congressional subpoena in an investigation of the 6 January 2021 US Capitol attack.
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Robert Tait is a journalist based in Washington DC
Donald Trump has demanded that the three frontrunners to lead the Senate allow him to appoint officials to his new administration without confirmation hearings on Capitol Hill, as a future Republican government began to take shape the week after his election victory.
In a demonstration of his political muscle, the US president-elect urged support for “recess appointments”, which allow the president to make appointments while the Senate is temporarily paused, and can be used to circumvent the confirmation process, which can result in appointments being delayed or blocked.
The demand amounted to a full-frontal intervention in this week’s GOP’s election for a new Senate leader to replace Mitch McConnell, the party’s longtime leader who is retiring. The three men tipped to lead the Senate – Rick Scott, John Thune and John Cornyn – all quickly agreed to Trump’s request.
It also signalled Trump’s determination to press ahead with his agenda without being encumbered by congressional oversight, which is mandated by the US constitution.
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Good morning, and welcome to our US politics blog.
US President-elect Donald Trump announced several new members of his incoming administration on Monday, and is reportedly expected to name Marco Rubio – a one time challenger in the 2016 Republican presidential primaries – as secretary of state.
It comes as justice Juan Merchan, a New York judge, is set to decide later today whether Trump’s criminal conviction on charges involving hush money paid to a porn star should be overturned in light of the US Supreme Court’s July ruling on presidential immunity.
Meanwhile, officials at the US justice department are assessing how to wind down the two federal criminal cases brought against Trump by special counsel Jack Smith due to its longstanding policy against prosecuting a sitting president.
A separate case in Georgia involving state criminal charges concerning Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 presidential election loss remains in limbo.
We will give you more on the developments in the legal cases Trump faces when news breaks throughout the day.
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Trump campaigns in Raleigh, north Carolina, with Marco Rubio.”,”caption”:”Donald Trump campaigns in Raleigh, north Carolina, with Marco Rubio.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Jonathan Drake/Reuters”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Here are the main political appointments Trump has already made or is expected to announce shortly:
The New York Times reports that Trump is expected to name Florida senator Marco Rubio his secretary of state. The paper cites three unnamed sources “familiar with [Trump’s] thinking”. Rubio has said that Ukraine needs to seek a negotiated settlement with Moscow rather than focus on regaining all territory that Russia has taken in the last decade. He was also one of 15 Republican senators to vote against a $95 billion military aid package for Ukraine, passed in April. Rubio serves as the vice-chairman of the Senate intelligence committee and sits on the foreign relations committee.
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The US president-elect has reportedly asked US Representative Michael Waltz, a retired Army National Guard officer and war veteran, to be his national security adviser. Waltz, regarded by many in Washington as hawkish on China and Iran, has also been a member of the intelligence and foreign affairs committees.
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Trump picked South Dakota governor Kristi Noem to serve as the next secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, CNN reported on Tuesday, citing two sources. The Department of Homeland Security is responsible for a range of issues, including border protection, immigration, disaster response and the US secret service. Noem, once seen as a possible running mate for Trump, made headlines after refusing to impose a statewide mask mandate during the pandemic.
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Trump announced that the former New York congressman Lee Zeldin will be selected to lead the Environmental Protection Agency. Trump, who oversaw the rollback of more than 100 environmental rules when he last was US president, said Zeldin was a “true fighter for America First policies” and that “he will ensure fair and swift deregulatory decisions”.
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Stephen Miller, the author of Trump’s so-called “Muslim ban” immigration policy during his first term, is set to be his deputy chief of staff with a broad portfolio.
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Trump said on Sunday that Tom Homan, the former acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice), will be in charge of the country’s borders in his new administration. Homan told Fox News: “If sanctuary cities don’t want to help us, then get the hell out of the way, because we’re coming.”
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New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik, 40, has been made ambassador to the United Nations. Stefanik, a Trump-skeptic turned Trump-ally, is the House Republican Conference chair, making her the fourth-ranking House Republican.
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On Thursday, Trump made his first appointment, naming Susie Wiles, who has worked on Republican campaigns since the days of Ronald Reagan, White House chief of staff. She was previously the campaign manager for his victorious bid for re-election.
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Donald Trump is reportedly considering making North Dakota’s governor Doug Burgum his new “energy tsar”. The Financial Times were the first to report this on Friday. The outlet said that Burgum, who last year ran a short-lived campaign for the Republican nomination for president, is the president-elect’s preferred candidate for the role, though former energy secretary Dan Brouillette is also said to be a strong contender. The role and its powers have yet to be finalised but the FT reports that role would likely replace the “climate tsar” — or National Climate Advisor — established by the Biden administration. You can read more on Trump’s (potential) cabinet picks here.
North Dakota governor Doug Burgum leaves the stage at the North Carolina GOP Convention in Greensboro, on 25 May, 2024. Photograph: Woody Marshall/AP
As my colleagues Dharna NoorandOliver Milmannote in this story, Trump has pledged to deregulate the energy sector, allow the oil and gas industry to “drill, baby, drill”, and pull the US from the Paris climate agreement, which committed countries to taking steps to avoid the worst impacts of the crisis.
Vietnam’s Communist Party head To Lam has congratulated Donald Trump on his US presidential election victory in a phone call and the two discussed ways their countries could boost economic ties, according to the communist party.
The US is Vietnam’s largest export market, and the two countries upgraded their relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership last September, the highest level in Vietnam’s ranking.
“Vietnam is ready to promote stable and long-term development of bilateral relations for the benefit of the people of the two countries,” Lam said during the call, which took place on Monday, according to a statement posted on the communist party’s website.
Lam stated that Vietnam is ready to promote the stable and long-term development of the bilateral ties for the sake of the two peoples, as well as for regional and global peace, cooperation, and sustainable development…
Trump expressed his satisfaction with the positive development in the bilateral relations, and affirmed the importance he attaches to the relationship with Vietnam, particularly economic cooperation. He highlighted specific areas of economic and trade collaboration that the US seeks to advance.
Last week, officials and supply chain experts told Reuters Vietnam could face trade volatility with a new Trump presidency, as it could become “collateral damage” of protectionist measures.
Then US President Donald Trump meets North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in February 2019 in Hanoi, the Vietnamese capital. Photograph: Evan Vucci/AP
Both leaders invited the other to visit their country, according to the party statement. Trump travelled to Vietnam twice in his first term as president, first to attend an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit and then for a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
My colleague Rachel Leingang has done a profile on Tom Homanthe former law enforcement official who has been selected to be in charge of the country’s borders following Trump’s inauguration in January. Here is an extract from her piece:
Homan has been describing mass deportation in stark terms for the past year, angling for a role in helping Trump with his signature campaign promise. Asked about the high price tag of a mass deportation, he turned the question back on 60 Minutes: “What price do you put on our national security? Is it worth it?” When the outlet followed up to ask if there was a way for mass deportations not to separate families with mixed immigration statuses, Homan responded: “Families can be deported together.”
It is a likely next step for a man who served as acting director of Ice for 16 months under Trump in what was seen as a period of intense controversy for the agency. The Atlantic documented how Homan was the “father” of the Trump administration’s family separation policy, tracing its roots to a 2014 meeting where Homan pushed the idea. He defended the policy to the outlet by saying: “The goal wasn’t to traumatize. The goal was to stop the madness, stop the death, stop the rape, stop the children dying, stop the cartels doing what they’re doing.”
“I hear a lot of people say, ‘The talk of a mass deportation is racist. It’s threatening to the immigrant community,'” says Tom Homan, Trump’s former acting director of immigration enforcement. He argues it should only “be threatening to the illegal immigrant community.” pic.twitter.com/IsU7yrcxIb
— 60 Minutes (@60Minutes) October 27, 2024nn”}}”>
“I hear a lot of people say, ‘The talk of a mass deportation is racist. It’s threatening to the immigrant community,'” says Tom Homan, Trump’s former acting director of immigration enforcement. He argues it should only “be threatening to the illegal immigrant community.” pic.twitter.com/IsU7yrcxIb
— 60 Minutes (@60Minutes) October 27, 2024
This year, his speech to the Republican national convention started with a folksy “how you doin’” and a shoutout to New York, his home state. He then launched into an impassioned speech defending Trump and lambasting the Biden administration on immigration, saying Joe Biden’s policies were essentially “national suicide”.
“As a guy who spent 34 years deporting illegal aliens, I got a message to the millions of illegal aliens that Joe Biden’s released in our country in violation of federal law: you better start packing now – you’re damn right – because you’re going home,” he said, to raucous applause.
To the cartels in Mexico trafficking fentanyl, he said: “When President Trump gets back in office, he’s going to designate you a terrorist organization. He’s going to wipe you off the face of the earth. You’re done.”
The Republicans already have a majority in the Senate and need to win just a few seats to take control of the 435-member House (a party needs 218 seats to win a House majority). According to our latest tally, Republicans have 214 seats, while the Democrats have 205.
Keeping hold of the House would give Republicans sweeping powers to potentially enact a broad agenda of tax and spending cuts, energy deregulation and border security controls. As well as giving the party the power to initiate spending legislation, control of the House would allow Republicans to launch impeachment proceedings against officials.
Politics tamfitronics Steve Bannon due in court over border-wall fraud trial
Steve Bannon is due in court today ahead of his trial on criminal fraud charges over a push to fund Trump’s border wall, weeks after he was released from prison on a separate conviction. Bannon, the 70-year-old former Trump adviser, is scheduled to stand trial starting on 9 December in New York state court in Manhattan.
Prosecutors allege that he deceived donors who contributed more than $15 million in 2019 to a private fundraising drive to build a barrier along the US-Mexico border. Bannon has pleaded not guilty. He is set to appear for a final pretrial conference before acting justice April Newbauer at 2:15 pm EST (1915 GMT).
Steve Bannon holds a press conference at Loews Regency Hotel in New York on 29 October 2024. Photograph: Steven Ferdman/REX/Shutterstock
Last month, Bannon was released from prison, following a four-month sentence for defying a congressional subpoena in an investigation of the 6 January 2021 US Capitol attack.
Politics tamfitronics Trump demands Senate allow him to circumvent hearings to appoint cabinet
Robert Tait
Robert Tait is a journalist based in Washington DC
Donald Trump has demanded that the three frontrunners to lead the Senate allow him to appoint officials to his new administration without confirmation hearings on Capitol Hill, as a future Republican government began to take shape the week after his election victory.
In a demonstration of his political muscle, the US president-elect urged support for “recess appointments”, which allow the president to make appointments while the Senate is temporarily paused, and can be used to circumvent the confirmation process, which can result in appointments being delayed or blocked.
The demand amounted to a full-frontal intervention in this week’s GOP’s election for a new Senate leader to replace Mitch McConnell, the party’s longtime leader who is retiring. The three men tipped to lead the Senate – Rick Scott, John Thune and John Cornyn – all quickly agreed to Trump’s request.
It also signalled Trump’s determination to press ahead with his agenda without being encumbered by congressional oversight, which is mandated by the US constitution.
You can read the full story here:
Politics tamfitronics Trump poised to appoint Rubio; judge decides whether to overturn criminal conviction
Good morning, and welcome to our US politics blog.
US President-elect Donald Trump announced several new members of his incoming administration on Monday, and is reportedly expected to name Marco Rubio – a one time challenger in the 2016 Republican presidential primaries – as secretary of state.
It comes as justice Juan Merchana New York judge, is set to decide later today whether Trump’s criminal conviction on charges involving hush money paid to a porn star should be overturned in light of the US Supreme Court’s July ruling on presidential immunity.
Meanwhile, officials at the US justice department are assessing how to wind down the two federal criminal cases brought against Trump by special counsel Jack Smith due to its longstanding policy against prosecuting a sitting president.
A separate case in Georgia involving state criminal charges concerning Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 presidential election loss remains in limbo.
We will give you more on the developments in the legal cases Trump faces when news breaks throughout the day.
Donald Trump campaigns in Raleigh, north Carolina, with Marco Rubio. Photograph: Jonathan Drake/Reuters
Here are the main political appointments Trump has already made or is expected to announce shortly:
The New York Times reports that Trump is expected to name Florida senator Marco Rubio his secretary of state. The paper cites three unnamed sources “familiar with [Trump’s] thinking”. Rubio has said that Ukraine needs to seek a negotiated settlement with Moscow rather than focus on regaining all territory that Russia has taken in the last decade. He was also one of 15 Republican senators to vote against a $95 billion military aid package for Ukraine, passed in April. Rubio serves as the vice-chairman of the Senate intelligence committee and sits on the foreign relations committee.
The US president-elect has reportedly asked US Representative Michael Waltza retired Army National Guard officer and war veteran, to be his national security adviser. Waltz, regarded by many in Washington as hawkish on China and Iran, has also been a member of the intelligence and foreign affairs committees.
Trump picked South Dakota governor Kristi Noem to serve as the next secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, CNN reported on Tuesday, citing two sources. The Department of Homeland Security is responsible for a range of issues, including border protection, immigration, disaster response and the US secret service. Noem, once seen as a possible running mate for Trump, made headlines after refusing to impose a statewide mask mandate during the pandemic.
Trump announced that the former New York congressman Lee Zeldin will be selected to lead the Environmental Protection Agency. Trump, who oversaw the rollback of more than 100 environmental rules when he last was US president, said Zeldin was a “true fighter for America First policies” and that “he will ensure fair and swift deregulatory decisions”.
Stephen Millerthe author of Trump’s so-called “Muslim ban” immigration policy during his first term, is set to be his deputy chief of staff with a broad portfolio.
Trump said on Sunday that Tom Homanthe former acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice), will be in charge of the country’s borders in his new administration. Homan told Fox News: “If sanctuary cities don’t want to help us, then get the hell out of the way, because we’re coming.”
New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik40, has been made ambassador to the United Nations. Stefanik, a Trump-skeptic turned Trump-ally, is the House Republican Conference chair, making her the fourth-ranking House Republican.
On Thursday, Trump made his first appointment, naming Susie Wileswho has worked on Republican campaigns since the days of Ronald Reagan, White House chief of staff. She was previously the campaign manager for his victorious bid for re-election.
Politics tamfitronics UK politics latest: Starmer yet to make up his mind on assisted dying Bill as cabinet split emerges
Politics tamfitronics
The prime minister has said it would ‘depend on the detail’ and the wording of the Bill
Prime Minister Keir Starmer during a bilateral meeting at Cop29. (Carl Court/PA Wire)
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Sir Keir Starmer has said Labour MPs must “make their own mind up” on whether to vote in favour of legalising assisted dying, as he avoided expressing his own view.
When asked if he is going to vote in favour of the legislation and whether he has any concerns about potential coercion, he said: “Obviously a lot will depend on the detail and we need to get the balance right but I’ve always argued there will need to be proper safeguards in place.”
The prime minister has previously supported assisted dying but has been careful not to express a view since the Bill was introduced.
Energy secretary Ed Miliband has voiced his support of the Bill alongside culture secretary Lisa Nandy, while Wes Streeting, the health secretary, has voices his fears about coercion and said he would vote against it.
It comes as Downing Street confirmed the prime minister has “no plans” to meet the Taliban at Cop29.
The militant group will be attending the conference taking place in Baku, Azerbaijan, following a year of devastating weather extremes and record heat waves.
This comes despite the UN not recognising the Taliban as Afghanistan’s legitimate leaders.
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Cabinet split emerges as Streeting opposes assisted dying Bill
Health Secretary Wes Streeting has already said he intends to vote against the Bill, voicing his fears about coercion and people feeling a “duty to die”, while the Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby has warned of legalisation leading to a “slippery slope” in terms of who is eligible.
High-profile supporters of a change in the law include Dame Esther Rantzen, who is terminally ill and revealed in December that she had joined Dignitas due to the current law.
Meanwhile, energy Secretary Ed Miliband said he intends to back the Bill.
He told ITV’s Good Morning Britain: “For my part, I know there are people who are in the late stages of terminal illnesses, and I think the current situation is rather cruel actually.
“I think people having control over their own life and their own death is something that is the right thing to do.”
Energy secretary Ed Miliband has said he would back the Bill (Ben Whitley/PA) (PA Wire)
Holly Evans12 November 2024 08:20
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Starmer announces £1bn wind turbine contract
Sir Keir Starmer has announced a £1 billion contract for wind turbine blades to be made in Hull.
The Prime Minister told broadcasters at Cop29 in Azerbaijan: “I think it’s very important for the United Kingdom to show leadership on the climate challenge. It’s a very important challenge of our time.
“It’s also, I’ve long believed, the single biggest opportunity for the next generation of jobs.
“And that’s demonstrated in the fact that this morning, here at Cop, I’m announcing a £1 billion order for blades for offshore wind, which would be jobs in Hull.”
Holly Evans12 November 2024 08:13
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Starmer says MPs must make own minds up on assisted dying Bill
Sir Keir Starmer has said Labour MPs must “make their own mind up” on whether to vote in favour of legalising assisted dying.
The Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill, from Labour MP Kim Leadbeater, was published late on Monday and runs to almost 40 pages, with a further 20 pages of explanatory notes.
Sir Keir was asked if he is going to vote in favour of the legislation and whether he has any concerns about potential coercion or issues raised by disability charities.
The Prime Minister said: “Look, it’s going to be a free vote and I mean that. It will be for every MP to decide for themselves how they want to vote.
A campaigner from ‘Dignity in Dying’ hold a placard during a demonstration outside Westminster (AFP via Getty Images)
“I’m not going to be putting any pressure whatsoever on Labour MPs. They will make their own mind up, as I will be.
“Obviously a lot will depend on the detail and we need to get the balance right but I’ve always argued there will need to be proper safeguards in place.”
Sir Keir has previously supported assisted dying, but said the Government will remain neutral on the issue. He has been careful not to express a view since the Bill was introduced.
Holly Evans12 November 2024 08:09
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Work and pensions secretary says figures are ‘holding economy back’
Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall said: “2.8 million people – a near record number are locked out of work due to poor health. This is bad for people, bad for businesses and it’s holding our economy back.
“That’s why our Get Britain Working plan will bring forward the biggest reforms to employment support in a generation, backed by an additional £240 million of investment.
“While it’s encouraging to see real pay growth this month, more needs to be done to improve living standards too.
“So, from April next year, over three million of the lowest-paid workers will benefit from our increase to the national living wage, delivering a £1,400-a-year pay rise for a full-time worker.”
Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall has said more needs to be done to improve living standards (Ben Whitley/PA) (PA Wire)
Holly Evans12 November 2024 07:39
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Wage growth slows further as unemployment rises
Wage growth has fallen to its lowest level in more than two years while Britain’s jobless rate jumped by more than expected, according to official figures.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said average regular earnings growth eased back to 4.8 per cent in the three months to September, down from 4.9 per cent in the previous three months.
This marked the lowest level since the three months to June 2022.
Earnings growth continues to outstrip inflation, however, as pay increased by 2.7 per cent in the three months to September with Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation taken into account.
The ONS said the rate of UK unemployment rose to 4.3 per cent in the three months to September, up from 4 per cent in the previous three months
This was the highest level since the three months to May, although the ONS said the estimate should be treated with caution given ongoing low response rates to its jobs survey.
Holly Evans12 November 2024 07:37
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Downing Street respond to potential use of Storm Shadow missiles by Ukraine
Downing Street said “no war was ever won by a single weapon” when asked whether the UK was speaking to Joe Biden about the potential use of Storm Shadow missiles by Ukraine within Russia before Donald Trump enters the White House.
Asked whether Britain was in talks with the outgoing US President, following suggestions that Mr Biden could be asked about giving permission for the weapons to be used, a Number 10 spokeswoman said: “Our position on Storm Shadow hasn’t changed.
“We’ve always aid that where we discuss our support for Ukraine, we do so in terms of broader strategy to ensure that Ukraine is in the strongest possible position going forwards, particularly in the winter, and we’ve also been clear that no war was ever won by a single weapon.”
Alex Croft12 November 2024 07:00
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Starmer expected to travel from Paris to Azerbaijan for Cop29 talks
The latest UN climate talks kick off this week against a backdrop of devastating weather extremes, record heat and Donald Trump’s re-election as US President.
World leaders including Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer are heading to the opening summit of Cop29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, where they face pressure over delivering finance for poor countries to cope with climate change, and increasing their ambitions on emissions cuts.
The meeting is being held in the wake of the latest deadly weather events including floods in Valencia and Hurricane Helene in the US, which scientific analyses show were made more likely and intense by rising temperatures.
This year is on course to break temperature records once again and, as countries prepare to submit new plans for climate action by early next year, the UN has warned that existing policies are falling so far short the world is on track for a “catastrophic” 3.1C of warming.
Countries will also be grappling with Mr Trump’s return to the White House, in what analysts say is a trend of climate scepticism in elections this year.
Alex Croft12 November 2024 06:00
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ICYMI: UN climate talks start as experts warn 2024 is heading for record heat
The latest round of international climate talks have kicked off in Azerbaijan as the UN warns 2024 is set to be the hottest year on record.
Sir Keir Starmer, whose Labour Government has made clean energy a key plank of its plans for the UK, has headed to the Cop29 conference in Baku, Azerbaijan, although many leaders including the US and Chinese presidents and European heads of state are not attending the talks.
While the Taliban are among the delegations who are attending the conference, Downing Street said the Prime Minister had no plans to meet with them.
As the conference kicked off, the UN’s World Meteorological Organisation issued a “red alert” over the speed of climate change in a single generation, as it warned this year would break 2023’s record temperatures.
The WMO said the global average temperature for January to September 2024 was 1.54C above pre-industrial levels, based on analysis from six global datasets.
Read more:
Alex Croft12 November 2024 05:00
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Watch: Defence secretary dismisses suggestion Farage could help government with Trump
Defence secretary dismisses suggestion Farage could help government with Trump
Holly Patrick12 November 2024 04:00
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Report: Assisted dying unites Kemi Badenoch and Diane Abbott in fears over safeguards
Opposition to a bill attempting to legalise assisted dying appears to be growing despite promises that it will include the toughest safeguards anywhere in the world by its pro poser Labour MP Kim Leadbeater.
Health secretary Wes Streeting has already indicated he will oppose the legislation, which is a free conscience vote in parliament, and now he could be joined by an improbable alliance of Tory leader Kemi Badenoch and Labour leftwing veteran Diane Abbott.
Our political editor David Maddox reports exclusively:
David Maddox, Political Editor12 November 2024 03:00
