Harris campaign reportedly fears ‘blue wall’ could crumble; AOC says Trump’s McDonald’s stunt was ‘making fun’ of workers – US politics live

We’re ending our live coverage for the day, just two weeks out from election day. Here are some key events and stories from the day:

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  Barack Obama and Tim Walz baited the Trump campaign at a Wisconsin rally as part of an early voting push.

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  Kamala Harris told NBC that she has no doubt that the US was ready for a female president, insisting that Americans care more about what candidates can do to help them, rather than their gender.

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  Trump’s campaign has filed an extraordinary complaint against the UK’s Labour party for what it claims is “interference” in the US presidential election.

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  The US army has been ordered to release documents about the Trump campaign’s pugnacious visit to Arlington national cemetery.

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  Scrutiny is growing about the Montana aerial firefighting company once led by Tim Sheehy, the former Navy Seal and Republican Senate candidate who could oust the Democrat incumbent Jon Tester.

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  Arab Americans are slightly more likely to vote for Donald Trump than Kamala Harris, according to a new poll, in a worrying sign for the Democratic nominee’s chances of carrying the battleground state of Michigan.

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  Michigan’s top elections official defended the state’s elections after repeated attacks on Twitter/X from Elon Musk, who spread false claims about inactive voters.

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  Trump’s former chief of staff said the Republican candidate meets the definition of a “fascist” and reiterated that Trump previously praised Hitler.

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In an interview with Telemundo earlier today, Kamala Harris pledged to drive more funds to community banks to help Latino men access small business loans.

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“We need to construct a strong economy that supports the working class, the vice-president said, AP reported. She continued:

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I know that Hispanic men often have more difficulty securing loans from banks because of their connections and the fact that things aren’t necessarily set up so that they will qualify … For that reason, I’m focused on seeing what we can do to bring more capital to community banks that better understand the community so we can give them that kind of loans.

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In a Trump event in Florida courting Latino voters, the former president denigrated Harris as “lazy as hell” and “low IQ”.

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Barack Obama is rallying in Detroit after he was introduced by Eminem. The former president mocked Trump for his meandering rallies and inability to coherently answer questions:

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Have you seen Mr Trump lately? … He’ll give two-and-a-half-hour speeches, just a word salad, you don’t know what the heck he’s saying. The other day he had a town hall meeting .. about 45 minutes into it, he says: ‘You know what? I don’t feel like taking questions no more,’ and then he just played music for half an hour.

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Praising Kamala Harris, Obama took another swipe at Trump for his publicity stunt at a McDonald’s:

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This is a leader who has spent her life fighting on behalf of people who need a voice, need a champion – somebody who was raised in the middle class. She worked at McDonald’s when she was in college to pay her expenses. She did not pretend to work at McDonald’s when it was closed.

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Kamala Harris said that she has no doubt the US is ready for a female president, insisting that Americans care more about what candidates can do to help them, rather than a presidential contender’s gender.

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The vice-president’s statement came during an interview with NBC News’s Hallie Jackson, who asked whether she thought the country was ready for a woman, and a woman of color, to be in the Oval Office. “Absolutely,” Harris said. “Absolutely.”

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“In terms of every walk of life of our country,” Harris said, “part of what is important in this election is really, not really turning the page – closing a chapter, on an era that suggests that Americans are divided.

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Rapper Eminem took the stage at the Detroit rally for Kamala Harris:

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It’s important to use your voice, so I’m encouraging everybody to get out and vote, please … I also think that people shouldn’t be afraid to express their opinions, and I don’t think anyone wants an America where people are worried about retribution … if you make your opinion known.

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Vice-President Harris supports a future for this country where these freedoms and many others will be protected and upheld.

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Eminem then introduced Barack Obama, who started his speech by reciting Eminem lyrics.

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Rapper Eminem introduces former President Barack Obama at a Detroit rally for Vice President Kamala Harris. pic.twitter.com/SGURWEGAMw

— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 23, 2024

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John Kelly, Donald Trump’s former chief of staff, told the New York Times that he believes his former boss meets the definition of “fascist”.

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NEW: In an interview with The New York Times — the audio of which we have published online — former White House chief of staff John Kelly answers the question of whether he thinks Trump is a fascist. https://t.co/RrSdanoNKz

— Michael S. Schmidt (@nytmike) October 22, 2024

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Kelly, a retired Marine general who was Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, has publicly condemned the former president over his contempt for wounded and killed soldiers. In a new interview with the Times, Kelly was asked whether he considered Trump a fascist. Kelly responded:

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Looking at the definition of fascism: It’s a far-right authoritarian, ultranationalist political ideology and movement characterized by a dictatorial leader, centralized autocracy, militarism, forcible suppression of opposition, belief in a natural social hierarchy … Certainly, in my experience, those are the kinds of things that he thinks would work better in terms of running America.

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Certainly the former president is in the far-right area, he’s certainly an authoritarian, admires people who are dictators – he has said that. So he certainly falls into the general definition of fascist, for sure.

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Kelly said Trump “prefers the dictator approach to government”.

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Kelly also confirmed past reports that Trump privately made admiring comments about Hitler: “He commented more than once that, ‘You know, Hitler did some good things, too.’”

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Donald Trump is now speaking at a rally in North Carolina, mocking Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Tim Walz and other Democrats.

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“We’re close to a nuclear war, and we don’t know who the hell is running our country,” the former president said, before an audience member shouted: “Obama!” Trump continued: “Obama, that’s another beauty. Obama, he did great, didn’t he? He did great, if you like a divided country. He was a great, he was fabulous. Obama, he was a real beauty. But under the Trump administration, we’re going to take back what is ours.”

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Speaking at a Democratic campaign office in New Hampshire, Joe Biden outlined the threat posed by a second Donald Trump term:

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“He is talking about doing away with the entire Department of Education. He means it, this is not a joke. This is a guy who also wants to replace every civil servant, every single one, [who] thinks he has a version of the supreme court ruling on immunity to be able … to actually eliminate, physically eliminate, shoot, kill someone who is, he believes, to be the threat to him. I know this sounds bizarre. It sounds like, if I said this five years ago, you’d lock me up. We got to lock him up – politically lock him up.”

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The president paused after he echoed the “lock him up” chants of Trump critics, and then added “politically”.

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Biden in NH lists what Trump would do as president and says: “we gotta lock him up” and then, appearing to realize how his comments would be taken, adds: “politically, lock him up.” pic.twitter.com/cw3X8RzKn2

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) October 22, 2024

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When Kamala Harris supporters have shouted “lock him up”, she has generally not encouraged the chants and said the courts will handle his criminal cases. “Here’s the thing about that. The courts are going to take care of that,” the vice-president recently said at a rally.

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Trump has falsely claimed that Biden was behind his prosecution and conviction in his New York hush-money case and has repeatedly blamed Democrats for his various criminal cases.

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In her NBC interview, Hallie Jackson asked Kamala Harris whether she would consider pardoning Donald Trump if she were elected, citing the argument some have made that clemency would “help unify the country and move on”. The vice-president responded:

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I’m not going to get into those hypotheticals, I’m focused on the next 14 days … Let me tell you what’s gonna help us move on: I get elected president of the United States.

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Harris also said the Democrats “have the resources and the expertise” in the case of Trump trying to subvert the election or declare early victory. She added:

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n

This is a person, Donald Trump, who tried to undo the free and fair election, who still denies the will of the people, who incited a violent mob to attack the United States Capitol, and some 140 law enforcement officers were attacked. Some were killed. This is a very serious matter.

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Asked about Elon Musk’s pledge to give away $1m to random voters as he campaigns for Trump, Harris said:

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I’m not about doing gimmicks and all of that. I think that what we have to do, and what I’m going to continue to do, is to be out in the communities.

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Two weeks out from election day, JD Vance told supporters at a rally in swing state Arizona that they need to pull their friends to the polls because the race could go either way.

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“Here’s the scenario that I want you to consider, and I don’t mean to give you nightmare fuel here, but I’m going to do it,” Vance said to the crowd in Peoria, Arizona. “We wake up on November the sixth, and Kamala Harris is barely elected president of the United States by a 700-vote margin in the state of Arizona. Think about that. And ask yourself what you can do from now until then to make sure it doesn’t happen.”

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Vance visited Arizona on Tuesday, stopping in Peoria, part of the suburban metro around Phoenix, and is scheduled to stop in Tucson, in southern Arizona, later in the day. Donald Trump plans to rally in the state on Thursday. Democrats have a host of campaign surrogates, including former president Bill Clinton and current president Joe Biden, on the schedule this week in the final stretch before 5 November .

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Kamala Harris has done an interview with NBC’s Hallie Jackson, as part of her ongoing media blitz. The interview is airing in full at 6.30 ET, but here are some initial highlights.

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Jackson asked which concessions could be on the table on reproductive rights, such as religious exemptions. Harris responded: “I don’t think we should be making concessions when we’re talking about a fundamental freedom to make decisions about your own body.” She declined to entertain hypotheticals about possible compromises with Republicans, saying: “A basic freedom has been taken from the women of America, the freedom to make decisions about their own body. And that cannot be negotiable.”

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Harris also said she is not concerned with sexism impacting the race:

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n

My challenge is the challenge of making sure I can talk with and listen to as many voters as possible and earn their vote. And I will never assume that anyone in our country should elect a leader based on their gender or their race, instead that that leader needs to earn the vote based on substance.

n

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Asked if the “country is ready for a woman and a woman of color to be president”, Harris responded: “Absolutely … Part of what is important in this election is really not only turning the page, but closing the page and the chapter on an era that suggests that Americans are divided.”

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Election day is exactly two weeks away, and today has been a frenzy of campaign activity.

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n
• n

  Eminem reportedly will introduce Barack Obama when he appears in Detroit tonight, and Bruce Springsteen will headline two concerts as part of a series that will hit every swing state.

n

• n

  Obama also campaigned with Tim Walz in Wisconsin.

n

• n

  JD Vance dodged a question about whether he would strip immigrants with legal authorization of their status, at an event in Arizona.

n

• n

  Donald Trump will be in North Carolina, where Walz is holding a second event this evening.

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• n

  Trump held a roundtable with Latino leaders but took his time in getting to issues of importance to the voting bloc.

n

• n

  Harris will campaign in Houston on Friday, with an eye towards picking up Texas’s Senate seat and highlighting how abortion bans have affected women in the Republican bastion.

n

• n

  The US economy is poised for stronger growth than many wealthy nations, the International Monetary Fund said in forecasts released today.

n

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The ruling upholds another order by a Fulton county judge, who invalidated last-minute rules made by Georgia’s state election board this year.

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The rules, which were approved by Trump-aligned members of the board, would have required all ballots to be counted by hand on election night – a feat that would probably yield results that are far less accurate than a count done by ballot scanners. The changes would also have allowed officials investigate discrepancies in vote totals and conduct “reasonable inquiries” into irregularities, without clarifying what such an inquiry entailed.

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The unanimous ruling by the conservative-majority supreme court did not touch on the legality of the seven rules – rather, it dismissed a request to hold a decision issued by a lower-court judge.

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Barack Obama is hitting on a key issue for voters: the economy.

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“Don’t have nostalgia for what his economy was. Because it was mine,” Obama said.

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Polls show voters tend to favor Trump on the economy, yearning for the time, early in Trump’s presidency, pre-pandemic, when housing and grocery costs were lower.

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“I spent eight years cleaning up the mess that Republicans left,” Obama said.

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Tim Walz encouraged the crowd not to grow sanguine about the possibility of a second Trump term, saying the Republican could retaliate against him if he returns to the White House.

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“Here’s another reason that the stakes are so high in this election, something that I don’t think many of us have seen. You hear some version of this from the people in your life, neighbors, relatives, brothers, in some cases, who said, look, we made it through the first Trump term, we’ll get through a second. This Donald Trump … is far more dangerous … He is not the 2016 Donald Trump. This is a brand-new version,” Walz said.

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He elaborated on why he believes that:

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n

As Kamala says, he is a very unserious person, but the consequences of putting him back in office are deadly serious. He’s talking about sending the military against people who don’t support him. He’s naming names. Look, I recognize I’m going to be at the top of that list. You think he’s stopping with me? He’s talking about you. He’s talking about using the United States military to go after people who disagree with his idiotic ideas, his unpatriotic ideas, his traitorous ideas. And he’s talking about using the military. He talks about the enemy from within.

n

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After Donald Trump recently called Kamala Harris a “shit vice-president”, Tim Walz just used similar language to describe Elon Musk’s enthusiastic campaigning for the former president.

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Musk bounded on stage and briefly got airborne at a Trump rally in the Pennsylvania town where the former president nearly lost his life in an assassination attempt in July.

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Here’s what Walz had to say about that:

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n

So look, Elon is on that stage, jumping around, skipping like a dipshit on these things. You know it. Think about it … that guy is literally the richest man in the world spending millions of dollars to help Donald Trump buy an election.

n

Now, look, they’re saying the quiet parts out loud now, because Donald Trump has already promised that he would put Elon in charge of government regulations that oversee the businesses that Elon runs.

n

That’s a hell of a buy. He could spend billions to make more than $10bn on the back end. So in other words, Donald Trump, in front of the eyes of the American public, is promising corruption. That’s what he’s promising you. And you know what? I don’t believe, I don’t believe he keeps many promises, but he’ll keep that one.

n

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Tim Walz then took Donald Trump to task for the staged campaign event he held at a Pennsylvania McDonald’s over the weekend, saying the appearance amounted to a “stunt”.

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“He went to a McDonald’s and dressed up as the drive-thru worker. They found him an apron his size and put it on him. And I was thinking, it is possible he mixed up his weekends and thought that it was Halloween already. He’s been forgetting things lately, as you might have noticed,” Walz said.

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Pressing the attack, the Minnesota governor continued:

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n

That restaurant, that restaurant wasn’t even open. It was a stunt – fake orders for fake customers. They even staged the drive thru. We know that they won’t let you walk through the damn drive thru. We knew that. They saw that happening.

n

But look, everything about this guy is fake. Everything he does is fake. Next, he’s going to be telling you he’s a cop or a construction worker because he dances to the Village People, so he knows the YMCA. And I’ll tell you this: so that five minutes he stood next to the deep fryer, I’ll guarantee you that’s the hardest that guy’s ever worked in his life. And that’s not a joke.

n

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Tim Walz laid into Donald Trump for the meandering tone of his recent speeches and for declining to debate Kamala Harris for a second time.

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“It takes stamina to run for president. It takes stamina to be president, and Donald Trump does not have stamina,” Walz began. “He has been rambling more than the normal rambling.”

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Noting that Trump has lately taken to describing his speaking style as “the weave”, Walz said: “We know there’s only one weave that you know anything about, and it is not this. It is not this … He’s ducks debates, but you can’t blame him. When you get your ass whipped that hard, you don’t come back for seconds.”

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Tim Walz is soon to take the stage along with Barack Obama in Madison, Wisconsin.

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It’s the only joint appearance the two men will make today, though Obama will head to Detroit this evening, while Walz will hold a second event in Racine, Wisconsin.

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The rally comes as Obama steps up his campaigning for Kamala Harris, with the general election two weeks away. The vice-president is meanwhile in Washington DC, where she has taped interviews with NBC News and Noticias Telemundo that will air in the evening.

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We’ll let you know what Walz and Obama have to say.

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a Democratic representative from New York, did not hold back in criticizing Trump’s minutes-long stint as a fry cook at a Pennsylvania McDonald’s on Sunday, saying he was “making fun” of workers.

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“You’ve got Donald Trump putting on a little McDonald’s costume because he thinks that’s what people do,” she said Monday at a United Auto Workers event, per the Hill. “They’re not trying to empathize with us. They are making fun of us.

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“Donald Trump thinks that people who work at McDonald’s are a joke.”

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Trump stopped by the fast-food restaurant for a staged campaign event where employees showed him how to make fries. He then served pre-approved customers at the drive-through window.

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Trump used the event to needle Kamala Harris, whom he has claimed lied about her time working at McDonald’s during college. Trump has made these claims without providing any evidence whatsoever.

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Election day is exactly two weeks away. Gulp. While there’s no telling who is going to win, NBC News and CNN reported this morning that Kamala Harris’s campaign is bracing for a very close election that could potentially see the “blue wall” swing states not vote as a bloc for the first time in decades. They are deploying a variety of surrogates on the campaign trail to make the case for the vice-president in the final two weeks, with Eminem reportedly set to introduce Barack Obama when he appears in Detroit tonight, and Bruce Springsteen to headline two concerts as part of a series that will hit every swing state. Obama will also campaign with Tim Walz in Wisconsin later today, JD Vance will hold two events in Arizona, Donald Trump will campaign in North Carolina, and Walz will hold a second event in the Badger state before the evening is through.

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Here’s what else has happened today so far:

“,”elementId”:”f2cfb753-467c-4054-b15f-bc1324e1d165″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

n
• n

  Trump held a round table with Latino leaders but took his time in getting to issues of importance to the voting bloc.

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• n

  Harris will campaign in Houston on Friday, with an eye towards picking up Texas’s Senate seat and highlighting how abortion bans have affected women in the Republican bastion.

n

• n

  The US economy is poised for stronger growth than many wealthy nations, the IMF said in forecasts released today.

n

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Kamala Harris’s campaign will hold concerts in the seven swing states, with legendary performer Bruce Springsteen to appear alongside the vice-president and Barack Obama on Thursday in Georgia, a senior campaign official said.

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The Atlanta concert is the first of what the campaign is calling the When We Vote We Win series, and is aimed at whipping up voter enthusiasm ahead of 5 November. It will continue on Monday of next week in Philadelphia, when Springsteen and Obama will appear together, and concerts in the five other swing states will be announced soon, the official said.

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Springsteen has backed Democrats before, and endorsed Harris earlier this month:

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Detroit’s own Eminem will introduce Barack Obama during his rally in support of Kamala Harris this evening in Michigan’s largest city, and likely weigh in on the presidential election, CNN reports.

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It’s a rare public appearance by the rapper who has been synonymous with the Motor City throughout his career, and who has occasionally condemned Harris’s opponent, Donald Trump.

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The vice-president is not scheduled to attend the event, which begins at 7.45pm and is one of two appearances Obama is making for her campaign today. The former president is also rallying with Tim Walz in Madison, Wisconsin, at 2.30pm.

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The first campaign event of the day is Donald Trump’s round table with Latino leaders, which is scheduled to begin now at his golf resort in Doral, Florida.

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Latinos are a voting bloc whose support is expected to be crucial to deciding the election, both in swing states and in states and congressional districts that will determine which party controls the Senate and House of Representatives.

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Ahead of the event, Miami’s Trump-supporting Republican mayor, Francis Suarez, told CNN in an interview that he does not believe the former president’s vows to carry out mass deportations and impose draconian policies against undocumented migrants will hurt his support with Hispanic voters:

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n

Law-abiding Hispanics care more about having a prosperous future for themselves and their children than they do about people who are in this country illegally. And so I think there’s a misperception that all they care about is, you know, immigration. And I think … that is, frankly, somewhat racist.

n

You know, I think Hispanics care more about making sure that they have an opportunity to succeed, making sure that inflation doesn’t crush them every single day as it’s done under this administration. And they’re law-abiding people, like my parents are, who came to this country at 12 and seven from – from Cuba, which is a communist country and has – and has only produced misery and poverty for its people. And they see a lot of the same rhetoric being, unfortunately, espoused by the Democratic party and that’s something that concerns them.

n

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Kamala Harris’s campaign expects Donald Trump to put up a strong performance in the 5 November presidential election that could break apart the “blue wall” swing states for the first time in decades, according to two reports published this morning.

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While neither story suggests that the vice-president’s campaign does not think it has a path to victory, the reports underscore the potency of Trump’s bid for office and the fact that the race remains essentially tied despite weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.

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Citing people with knowledge of Harris’s campaign strategy, NBC News reports that they are concerned that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania could, for the first time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-president’s path to the Oval Office.

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The campaign is also concerned that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the controversial Republican candidates for governor are undermining Harris’s chances of winning that state. Here’s more:

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n

Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. The conversations have focused on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “fall” to former president Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with knowledge of the campaign’s strategy.

n

Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would mean that even if Harris secures Pennsylvania – where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources – she would not reach the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House without winning another battleground state or possibly two.

n

“There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” said a senior Harris campaign official, who stressed that the bigger concern is over Michigan. Two other people with knowledge of campaign strategy – who, like others in this article, were granted anonymity to speak candidly – also underscored deep concern about Michigan. Those people still believe that all the states are close and that there are alternative routes to victory.

n

A Harris campaign spokesperson pushed back against the notion about deep concerns over Michigan, pointing to recent public polling. A Detroit News poll conducted 1-4 October found Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, holding a slight lead in the state, as did a Washington Post poll on Monday.

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…

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While North Carolina is still in the campaign’s sights and Democrats maintain strong organization and leadership there, the Harris team is far less bullish about victory, four people with knowledge of the dynamics said.

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“Of all of the seven [states], that one seems to be a little bit slipping away,” the Harris campaign official said of North Carolina.

n

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CNN, meanwhile, heard from top Harris adviser David Plouffe, who acknowledged that the race may very well remain tight right down to election day:

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n

Historically, it would be unusual to have seven states come down to a point or less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign manager who now serves as a senior adviser to Harris, said of the battleground landscape. “But I think at this point, you have to assume that’s a distinct possibility.”

n

Plouffe and other Harris advisers do not believe Trump’s largely outsourced door-knocking and other on-the-ground outreach operations can match what the national Democrats and the Harris campaign – which inherited some of the same team from President Joe Biden – spent a year putting together. But they believe this advantage can only take them so far.

n

“Democrats wish Donald Trump wouldn’t get more than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe said, referring to the national popular vote percentage the former president secured in his previous campaigns. But in the battleground states, “that’s not reality. He’s going to get up to 48% in all of these states. And so we just have to make sure we’re hitting our win number, which depending on the state, could be 50, could be 49.5.”

n

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Kamala Harris will return to Texas in the final days of the presidential campaign for an event that will highlight the stories of women harmed by the state’s strict abortion ban.

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In Houston on Friday, she will appear alongside the Democratic nominee for Senate, Colin Allred, who is locked in an unexpectedly tight race with the Republican incumbent, Ted Cruz.

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Democrats have turned their attention to the Texas Senate race, despite a long history of falling short in the Republican-dominated state. With Democrats poised to lose a seat in West Virginia and Montana appearing to slip away, their best opportunity to keep control of the Senate may run through the Lone Star state.

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According to a senior campaign official, Harris will travel to Texas from Georgia, two states with the most restrictive abortion laws in the country. The Democrat has repeatedly assailed Donald Trump for appointing the three supreme court justices who voted to overturn Roe v Wade and paved the way for a wave of new restrictions and near-total bans in Republican-led states.

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Harris has made abortion rights the centerpiece of her short campaign for the White House. At campaign stops, and the party’s convention, she has shared the stories of women and families affected by abortion bans, among them Texas resident Amanda Zurawski, who nearly died after being denied an abortion under the state’s law.

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Zurawski, along with the family of Amber Thurman, a Georgia woman who died after her medical care was delayed under the state’s abortion law, have become powerful surrogates for Harris’s campaign.

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Abortion has been a central issue in the Texas Senate race. Allred has made Cruz’s staunch anti-abortion views a central plank of his campaign. Polls show Cruz with a steady lead, though the race has appeared to tighten in recent weeks.

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While in Houston, Harris will also sit for an interview with academic turned Ted talks host and popular podcaster Brené Brown.

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On the campaign trail, you’ll hear Donald Trump assail the state of the economy and say Kamala Harris is to blame. And you’ll hear Harris vow to lower prices for everything from housing to healthcare.

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There is no doubt that Americans have suffered from the wave of inflation that racked the country over the past three years, but has recently subsided. What’s less discussed is that the US economy is, in fact, far healthier than many others.

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Just-released forecasts from the IMF, the Washington-based crisis lender whose economic data is closely watched from Wall Street to the White House, shows that the US economy is poised for some of the strongest growth among wealthy nations in the years to come, beating out the United Kingdom, Japan and many European nations:

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IMF Growth Forecast: 2024

🇺🇸US: 2.8%
🇩🇪Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 1.1%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.7%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.9%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.3%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.3%
🇨🇳China: 4.8%
🇮🇳India: 7.0%
🇷🇺Russia: 3.6%
🇧🇷Brazil: 3.0%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.5%
🇸🇦KSA: 1.5%
🇳🇬Nigeria: 2.9%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.1%https://t.co/sDv9tK6YQb pic.twitter.com/epCi3VT13o

— IMF (@IMFNews) October 22, 2024

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These are, of course, just projections, and as the Guardian’s Larry Elliott reports, various things could undercut them – including some of the policies Trump is campaigning on:

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Kamala Harris has a significant advantage over Donald Trump among young voters, matching the lead Joe Biden ended up taking in the 2020 election, a new poll finds.

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The survey from CNBC Generation Lab shows Harris up 20 percentage points with voters aged 18 to 34, with 60% support compared with Trump’s 40%. That’s about the same margin by which Biden won the group four years ago.

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It’s also an improvement from July, when the vice-president was at 46%, Trump at 34% and independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr picking up 21%. Kennedy has since dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump.

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Democrats are deploying one of their best-known figures as they seek an edge against Donald Trump in the final weeks of the campaign, with Barack Obama holding two events today in swing states Kamala Harris’s campaign covets most.

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The former president will at 2.30pm appear in Madison, Wisconsin, alongside Tim Walz, then hold a solo event in Detroit at 7.45pm. Walz will stay in Wisconsin, where he has an event in Racine at 7.30pm.

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The pair’s visit to Wisconsin is to mark the start of early voting in the state, one of three in the Democrats’ “blue wall” along the Great Lakes that are crucial to Harris’s White House hopes.

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Expect to see a lot more of both Barack and Michelle Obama before this election is through:

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Good morning and welcome to the US politics live blog. I’m Tom Ambrose and I’ll be bringing you all the latest from the campaign trail, with polling day now just two weeks away.

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We start with the news that Donald Trump has urged Christian voters on Monday to participate in the 2024 election, claiming that a Kamala Harris administration would restrict religious freedoms and casting himself as a protector of Christians.

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During an event in North Carolina billed as an “11th-Hour Faith Leaders Meeting”, a series of conservative pastors warmed up for Trump, including Guillermo Maldonado, an “apostle” and longtime Trump ally who cast the election in perilous terms.

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“You know, we’re now in spiritual warfare,” said Maldonado, alluding to the idea that Christians are at war on the supernatural plane against dark forces that affect the real world. “It’s beyond warfare between the left and the right. It’s between good and evil. There’s a big fight right now that is affecting our country and we need to take back our country.”

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Introducing Trump, Ben Carson, the campaign’s National Faith Chairman for the 2024 election, openly rejected the idea of secular society.

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“This election is about whether we are a secular nation or one nation under God,” said Carson, echoing the aims of Christian nationalists who view the US as a Christian nation that must return to God.

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In other news:

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  Liz Cheney, former Republican congresswoman and longtime opponent of abortion rights, condemned Republican bans on the procedure and urged conservatives on Monday to support Kamala Harris.

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  Jill Biden acknowledged on Monday that her husband made “the right call” by stepping down from his run for re-election.

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  Tim Walz, the Democratic vice-presidential candidate, said Elon Musk’s plan to give away $1m a day in support of Donald Trump is a reflection of a ticket with “no plan”.

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  The Central Park Five sued Trump for defamation after he falsely said during the presidential debate that they had pleaded guilty to a brutal rape 35 years ago, despite the fact that they had their convictions overturned.

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  A Republican county supervisor in Arizona who refused to certify the 2022 midterm election has pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor.

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  The politics writer Olivia Nuzzi and New York magazine have parted ways after she was placed on leave following the disclosure that she had engaged in a “personal” relationship with Robert F Kennedy Jr.

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  Key rightwing legal groups tied to Trump and his allies have banked millions of dollars from conservative foundations and filed multiple lawsuits challenging voting rules in swing states.

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  Trump doubled down on false claims about the federal government’s hurricane recovery efforts and promoted baseless conspiracy theories about immigration.

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Politics tamfitronics Closing summary

We’re ending our live coverage for the day, just two weeks out from election day. Here are some key events and stories from the day:

• Barack Obama and Tim Waltz baited the Trump campaign at a Wisconsin rally as part of an early voting push.

• Kamala Harris told NBC that she has no doubt that the US was ready for a female president, insisting that Americans care more about what candidates can do to help them, rather than their gender.

• Trump’s campaign has filed an extraordinary complaint against the UK’s Labour party for what it claims is “interference” in the US presidential election.

• The US army has been ordered to release documents about the Trump campaign’s pugnacious visit to Arlington national cemetery.

• Scrutiny is growing about the Montana aerial firefighting company once led by Tim Sheehythe former Navy Seal and Republican Senate candidate who could oust the Democrat incumbent Jon Tester.

• Arab Americans are slightly more likely to vote for Donald Trump than Kamala Harris, according to a new poll, in a worrying sign for the Democratic nominee’s chances of carrying the battleground state of Michigan.

• Michigan’s top elections official defended the state’s elections after repeated attacks on Twitter/X from Elon Muskwho spread false claims about inactive voters.

• Trump’s former chief of staff said the Republican candidate meets the definition of a “fascist” and reiterated that Trump previously praised Hitler.

Politics tamfitronics Kamala Harris promotes small business loans for Latinos

In an interview with Telemundo earlier today, Kamala Harris pledged to drive more funds to community banks to help Latino men access small business loans.

“We need to construct a strong economy that supports the working class, the vice-president said, AP reported. She continued:

I know that Hispanic men often have more difficulty securing loans from banks because of their connections and the fact that things aren’t necessarily set up so that they will qualify … For that reason, I’m focused on seeing what we can do to bring more capital to community banks that better understand the community so we can give them that kind of loans.

In a Trump event in Florida courting Latino voters, the former president denigrated Harris as “lazy as hell” and “low IQ”.

Politics tamfitronics Obama rallies in Michigan: ‘She didn’t pretend to work at McDonald’s’

Barack Obama is rallying in Detroit after he was introduced by Eminem. The former president mocked Trump for his meandering rallies and inability to coherently answer questions:

Have you seen Mr Trump lately? … He’ll give two-and-a-half-hour speeches, just a word salad, you don’t know what the heck he’s saying. The other day he had a town hall meeting .. about 45 minutes into it, he says: ‘You know what? I don’t feel like taking questions no more,’ and then he just played music for half an hour.

Praising Kamala Harris, Obama took another swipe at Trump for his publicity stunt at a McDonald’s:

This is a leader who has spent her life fighting on behalf of people who need a voice, need a champion – somebody who was raised in the middle class. She worked at McDonald’s when she was in college to pay her expenses. She did not pretend to work at McDonald’s when it was closed.

Politics tamfitronics Kamala Harris: US is ‘absolutely’ ready for a female president

Victoria Bekiempis

Kamala Harris said that she has no doubt the US is ready for a female president, insisting that Americans care more about what candidates can do to help them, rather than a presidential contender’s gender.

The vice-president’s statement came during an interview with NBC News’s Hallie Jackson, who asked whether she thought the country was ready for a woman, and a woman of color, to be in the Oval Office. “Absolutely,” Harris said. “Absolutely.”

“In terms of every walk of life of our country,” Harris said, “part of what is important in this election is really, not really turning the page – closing a chapter, on an era that suggests that Americans are divided.

Politics tamfitronics Eminem rallies for Kamala Harris

Rapper Eminem took the stage at the Detroit rally for Kamala Harris:

It’s important to use your voice, so I’m encouraging everybody to get out and vote, please … I also think that people shouldn’t be afraid to express their opinions, and I don’t think anyone wants an America where people are worried about retribution … if you make your opinion known.

Vice-President Harris supports a future for this country where these freedoms and many others will be protected and upheld.

Eminem then introduced Barack Obamawho started his speech by reciting Eminem lyrics.

Rapper Eminem introduces former President Barack Obama at a Detroit rally for Vice President Kamala Harris. pic.twitter.com/SGURWEGAMw

— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 23, 2024″}}”>

Politics tamfitronics Trump’s former chief of staff says he’s a ‘fascist’

John Kelly, Donald Trump’s former chief of staff, told the New York Times that he believes his former boss meets the definition of “fascist”.

NEW: In an interview with The New York Times — the audio of which we have published online — former White House chief of staff John Kelly answers the question of whether he thinks Trump is a fascist. https://t.co/RrSdanoNKz

— Michael S. Schmidt (@nytmike) October 22, 2024″}}”>

NEW: In an interview with The New York Times — the audio of which we have published online — former White House chief of staff John Kelly answers the question of whether he thinks Trump is a fascist. https://t.co/RrSdanoNKz

— Michael S. Schmidt (@nytmike) October 22, 2024

Kelly, a retired Marine general who was Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, has publicly condemned the former president over his contempt for wounded and killed soldiers. In a new interview with the Times, Kelly was asked whether he considered Trump a fascist. Kelly responded:

Looking at the definition of fascism: It’s a far-right authoritarian, ultranationalist political ideology and movement characterized by a dictatorial leader, centralized autocracy, militarism, forcible suppression of opposition, belief in a natural social hierarchy … Certainly, in my experience, those are the kinds of things that he thinks would work better in terms of running America.

Certainly the former president is in the far-right area, he’s certainly an authoritarian, admires people who are dictators – he has said that. So he certainly falls into the general definition of fascist, for sure.

Kelly said Trump “prefers the dictator approach to government”.

Kelly also confirmed past reports that Trump privately made admiring comments about Hitler: “He commented more than once that, ‘You know, Hitler did some good things, too.’”

Politics tamfitronics Donald Trump rallies in North Carolina

Donald Trump is now speaking at a rally in North Carolinamocking Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Tim Walz and other Democrats.

“We’re close to a nuclear war, and we don’t know who the hell is running our country,” the former president said, before an audience member shouted: “Obama!” Trump continued: “Obama, that’s another beauty. Obama, he did great, didn’t he? He did great, if you like a divided country. He was a great, he was fabulous. Obama, he was a real beauty. But under the Trump administration, we’re going to take back what is ours.”

Politics tamfitronics Joe Biden on Donald Trump: ‘We gotta lock him up … politically’

Speaking at a Democratic campaign office in New Hampshire, Joe Biden outlined the threat posed by a second Donald Trump term:

“He is talking about doing away with the entire Department of Education. He means it, this is not a joke. This is a guy who also wants to replace every civil servant, every single one, [who] thinks he has a version of the supreme court ruling on immunity to be able … to actually eliminate, physically eliminate, shoot, kill someone who is, he believes, to be the threat to him. I know this sounds bizarre. It sounds like, if I said this five years ago, you’d lock me up. We got to lock him up – politically lock him up.”

The president paused after he echoed the “lock him up” chants of Trump critics, and then added “politically”.

Biden in NH lists what Trump would do as president and says: “we gotta lock him up” and then, appearing to realize how his comments would be taken, adds: “politically, lock him up.” pic.twitter.com/cw3X8RzKn2

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) October 22, 2024″}}”>

Bid en in NH lists what Trump would do as president and says: “we gotta lock him up” and then, appearing to realize how his comments would be taken, adds: “politically, lock him up.” pic.twitter.com/cw3X8RzKn2

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) October 22, 2024

When Kamala Harris supporters have shouted “lock him up”, she has generally not encouraged the chants and said the courts will handle his criminal cases. “Here’s the thing about that. The courts are going to take care of that,” the vice-president recently said at a rally.

Trump has falsely claimed that Biden was behind his prosecution and conviction in his New York hush-money case and has repeatedly blamed Democrats for his various criminal cases.

Politics tamfitronics Kamala Harris talks Trump pardon and Elon Musk in new interview

In her NBC interview, Hallie Jackson asked Kamala Harris whether she would consider pardoning Donald Trump if she were electedciting the argument some have made that clemency would “help unify the country and move on”. The vice-president responded:

I’m not going to get into those hypotheticals, I’m focused on the next 14 days … Let me tell you what’s gonna help us move on: I get elected president of the United States.

Harris also said the Democrats “have the resources and the expertise” in the case of Trump trying to subvert the election or declare early victory. She added:

This is a person, Donald Trump, who tried to undo the free and fair election, who still denies the will of the people, who incited a violent mob to attack the United States Capitol, and some 140 law enforcement officers were attacked. Some were killed. This is a very serious matter.

Asked about Elon Musk’s pledge to give away $1m to random voters as he campaigns for Trump, Harris said:

I’m not about doing gimmicks and all of that. I think that what we have to do, and what I’m going to continue to do, is to be out in the communities.

Politics tamfitronics JD Vance campaigns in Arizona

Rachel Leingang

Two weeks out from election day, JD Vance told supporters at a rally in swing state Arizona that they need to pull their friends to the polls because the race could go either way.

“Here’s the scenario that I want you to consider, and I don’t mean to give you nightmare fuel here, but I’m going to do it,” Vance said to the crowd in Peoria, Arizona. “We wake up on November the sixth, and Kamala Harris is barely elected president of the United States by a 700-vote margin in the state of Arizona. Think about that. And ask yourself what you can do from now until then to make sure it doesn’t happen.”

Vance visited Arizona on Tuesday, stopping in Peoria, part of the suburban metro around Phoenix, and is scheduled to stop in Tucson, in southern Arizona, later in the day. Donald Trump plans to rally in the state on Thursday. Democrats have a host of campaign surrogates, including former president Bill Clinton and current president Joe Biden, on the schedule this week in the final stretch before 5 November .

Politics tamfitronics Kamala Harris to NBC: reproductive rights ‘cannot be negotiable’

Kamala Harris has done an interview with NBC’s Hallie Jackson, as part of her ongoing media blitz. The interview is airing in full at 6.30 ET, but here are some initial highlights.

Jackson asked which concessions could be on the table on reproductive rights, such as religious exemptions. Harris responded: “I don’t think we should be making concessions when we’re talking about a fundamental freedom to make decisions about your own body.” She declined to entertain hypotheticals about possible compromises with Republicans, saying: “A basic freedom has been taken from the women of America, the freedom to make decisions about their own body. And that cannot be negotiable.”

Harris also said she is not concerned with sexism impacting the race:

My challenge is the challenge of making sure I can talk with and listen to as many voters as possible and earn their vote. And I will never assume that anyone in our country should elect a leader based on their gender or their race, instead that that leader needs to earn the vote based on substance.

Asked if the “country is ready for a woman and a woman of color to be president”, Harris responded: “Absolutely … Part of what is important in this election is really not only turning the page, but closing the page and the chapter on an era that suggests that Americans are divided.”

Edward Helmore

Scrutiny is growing about the Montana aerial firefighting company once led by Tim Sheehy, the former Navy Seal and Republican Senate candidate who could oust the Democrat incumbent Jon Tester in next month’s election.

According to NBC News, Sheehy’s Bridger Aerospace, a company he founded in 2013, negotiated a deal with Gallatin county in eastern Montana to use its pristine credit rating to raise $160m in bonds. The county was meant to benefit from Bridger’s plans to hire more workers and build two new aircraft hangers.

But the company used most of the money, or $134m, from the 2022 bond issue to pay back previous investment from Blackstone, a New York-based investment giant.

Bridger’s finances have been complicated by the fact that there were fewer wildfires to fight this year and thus less revenue for Bridger. As of Tuesday, the National Interagency Fire Center reported 42,603 wildfires nationwide this year compared with the 10-year average of 48,689 for the same period.

In financial filings for the quarterly period that ended 30 June 2024, Bridger said it had “a substantial amount of debt” and that failure to service that debt “could prolong the substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern”.

A victory for Sheehy in November could hand Republicans control of the Senate, making his connections to Bridger a vital topic as voters head to the polls.

Politics tamfitronics Today so far

Election day is exactly two weeks away, and today has been a frenzy of campaign activity.

• Eminem reportedly will introduce Barack Obama when he appears in Detroit tonight, and Bruce Springsteen will headline two concerts as part of a series that will hit every swing state.

• Obama also campaigned with Tim Waltz in Wisconsin.

• JD Vance dodged a question about whether he would strip immigrants with legal authorization of their status, at an event in Arizona.

• Donald Trump will be in North Carolina, where Walz is holding a second event this evening.

• Trump held a roundtable with Latino leaders but took his time in getting to issues of importance to the voting bloc.

• Harris will campaign in Houston on Friday, with an eye towards picking up Texas’s Senate seat and highlighting how abortion bans have affected women in the Republican bastion.

• The US economy is poised for stronger growth than many wealthy nations, the International Monetary Fund said in forecasts released today.

Meanwhile, in New Hampshire, Joe Biden appeared alongside Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders to discuss his administration’s work on lowering prescription drug prices.

But the president also took a chance to issue a warning that Trump and Vance were extreme. “This is not your father’s Republican party,” Biden said, referencing Strom Thurmond, the late senator from South Carolina who famously conducted the longest speaking filibuster in opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1957. Thurmond later moderated his stance.

“People change, but these guys just keep getting worse,” Biden said of the party now. “Get to the vote. Because the nation’s democracy depends on it.”

He shared an embrace with Sanders.

Rachel Leingang

At an early voting pop-up location at the University of Minnesota, hundreds of students waited in line to cast ballots on Tuesday – a sign of youth enthusiasm for the presidential election.

The early voting location at the campus’ Weisman Art Museum, a one-day on-campus polling place for any Minneapolis voter, was a first-time occasion made possible by recent changes in state law to allow for pop-up polling places to help voters who can be harder to reach, like college students.

I’m out at the University of Minnesota today for a pop-up early voting site – tons of traffic among students to cast a ballot pic.twitter.com/7cnsPA4UFE

— Rachel Leingang (@rachelleingang) October 22, 2024nn”}}”>

“We brought the polls to them,” said Riley Hetlanda sophomore and undergraduate student government civic engagement director who helped plan the event. Hetland said the group has been going to classrooms and hosting tables around campus for weeks to get people registered to vote and help them make a plan to cast ballots. So far, they have gotten 12,000 voters to pledge to vote, double their goal of 6,000.

Madelyn Ekstrand finished her class for the day and waited about an hour, all told, to cast her ballot. The 21-year-old senior said abortion access and climate change were important to her, so she was voting for Harris. She thought she’d vote early to get it done, but didn’t realize how popular the choice would be – she was glad it was so busy.

“I’m happy to see people my age getting out and voting and being proactive and not waiting till the last second,” she said.

Politics tamfitronics Georgia’s supreme court has rejected a Republican effort reinstate last-minute election rule changes

The ruling upholds another order by a Fulton county judge, who invalidated last-minute rules made by Georgia’s state election board this year.

The rules, which were approved by Trump-aligned members of the board, would have required all ballots to be counted by hand on election night – a feat that would probably yield results that are far less accurate than a count done by ballot scanners. The changes would also have allowed officials investigate discrepancies in vote totals and conduct “reasonable inquiries” into irregularities, without clarifying what such an inquiry entailed.

The unanimous ruling by the conservative-majority supreme court did not touch on the legality of the seven rules – rather, it dismissed a request to hold a decision issued by a lower-court judge.